03)
THE DEAD CAT BOUNCE?
(The following
article is from the January 16-31, 2010 issue of People's Voice,
Canada's
leading communist
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People's Voice
Editorial
Corporate talking heads continue to
talk about "recovery," often pairing that word with "fragile." The only
certainty, however, is that the devastation which hit working people in
2009 will continue this year. With apologies to cat-lovers, the phrase
"dead cat bounce" comes to mind; virtually anything thrown off a tall
building will bounce when it hits the sidewalk. Similarly, the decline
last year was so severe that a few months of barely measurable GDP
growth does not mean much.
Most
important, there is no sign
that the slight upturn in economic activity will improve employment
figures in the near future. The thirty biggest capitalist economies in
the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development are still on
track for record post-war levels of some 57 million jobless this year,
with tens of millions more surviving on part-time hours. In December,
after several months of "growth," the official Canadian unemployment
rate stayed at 8.5%, leaving 1.57 million out of work. The picture is
worse in the United States, with gloomy implications for the Canadian
economy.
It's also a
fact that Canadian
workers have lost ground over the last decade, even as corporate
executives saw their pay outpace inflation by 70%. Faced with rising
debt loads and poor job prospects, working people are in no position to
go on a spending spree. And now, the Harper Tories are winding up their
totally inadequate "stimulus" package, sharpening the knives to cut
social spending in the next budget.
The details
vary but the picture
is roughly similar in many other capitalist countries, as right-wing
governments focus on protecting corporate profits at the expense of
working people. In the current battle against the arrogant Tory
prorogation of Parliament, it will be crucial to expand the fight by
raising the need for a genuine, pro-worker economic program in response
to the "jobless recovery."